منابع مشابه
Modelling waves and surges during the 1953 storm.
Waves and sea levels have been modelled for the storm of 31 January-1 February 1953. Problems in modelling this event are associated with the difficulty of reconstructing wind fields and validating the model results with the limited data available from 50 years ago. The reconstruction of appropriate wind fields for surge and wave models is examined. The surges and waves are reproduced reasonabl...
متن کاملReducing Uncertainty in Prediction of Dune Erosion during Extreme Conditions
Coastal dunes protect low lying coastal areas against the sea. Extreme waves and water levels during severe storms may cause breaching of the dunes. Consequently, serious damage due to flooding and direct wave attack could occur, resulting in loss of life and property. Proper coastal management implies that reinforcement measures will be taken if the actual safety level does not meet the agreed...
متن کاملNonlinear chaotic model for predicting storm surges
This paper addresses the use of the methods of nonlinear dynamics and chaos theory for building a predictive chaotic model from time series. The chaotic model predictions are made by the adaptive local models based on the dynamical neighbors found in the reconstructed phase space of the observables. We implemented the univariate and multivariate chaotic models with direct and multi-steps predic...
متن کاملModeling the physics of storm surges
cated on the coast and 44% of the world’s population lives within 150 km of the ocean.1 Unfortunately, coastal regions are often low-lying and thus susceptible to an increase in seasurface elevation. A storm surge is a potentially devastating rise in the sea surface caused by extratropical cyclones or by tropical cyclones such as hurricanes and typhoons. Surges can lead to large loss of human l...
متن کاملERDC/CHL TR-12-16 "Lake Michigan: Prediction of Sand Beach and Dune Erosion for Flood Hazard Assessment"
The present recommendations for dune removal or dune retreat on the Great Lakes for Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) flood mapping purposes are based on a simple geometric method as outlined in FEMA (2009). The simple procedure establishes a relationship between dune survival and storm intensity. The method was adopted several decades ago when numerical models were inadequate for pred...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Coastal Engineering
سال: 1982
ISSN: 0378-3839
DOI: 10.1016/0378-3839(82)90007-2